﻿Template-type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0  
Author-Name: Vicente Donoso
Author-Email: vdonoso@ccee.ucm.es
Author-Workplace-Name: Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales (ICEI) Universidad Complutense de Madrid.
Author-Name: Víctor Martín
Author-Email: victor.martin@urjc.es
Author-Workplace-Name: Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales (ICEI) y Universidad Rey Juan Carlos.
Author-Name: Asier Minondo
Author-Email: aminondo@ud-ss.deusto.es
Author-Workplace-Name: Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales (ICEI) y  Universidad de Deusto.
Title: Import competition from China and unemployment. An analysis using Spanish workers’micro-data 
Abstract: In the period 1997-2011, import competition from China multiplied by five in the Spanish manufacturing sector. In this 
	paper we analyze whether this severe increase in import competition from China is associated with a higher probability of 
	becoming unemployed in the Spanish manufacturing sector. Linking industry-level data on imports with the working histories of 
	141,000 manufacturing workers, we show that import competition from China is positively associated with the probability of 
	becoming unemployed. In particular, a standard deviation increase in import competition from China raises the probability of 
	becoming unemployed between 0.8 and 3.5 percentage points, which represents between a 9% and a 44% increase relative to the 
	unconditional probability of becoming unemployed. In contrast, we do not find any effect of import competition from China on 
	manufacturing wages. Also, our estimations show that there is weak evidence of a positive association between a higher import 
	competition from China and the probability of switching to an employment outside the manufacturing sector.Keywords: Imports; China; Spain; Unemployment; Skills; Manufacturing.
Creation-Date: 2014 
Length: 31 pages
Number: 1405 
X-File-Ref: http://america.sim.ucm.es/repec/ucm/ref/wpaper05-14.txt
File-URL: https://eprints.ucm.es/id/eprint/38059/1/WP05-14.pdf
File-Format: Application/pdf
File-Function: Full text
Handle: RePEc:ucm:wpaper:1405